Evidence that extreme rainfall intensity is increasing at the global scale has strengthened
considerably in recent years. Research now indicates that the greatest increases are likely to …

The development of NWP models with grid spacing down to 1 km should produce more
realistic forecasts of convective storms. However, greater realism does not necessarily mean …

The intensification of precipitation extremes with climate change 1 is of key importance to
society as a result of the large impact through flooding. Observations show that heavy rainfall is …

… Roberts, NM, 2007: Meteorological components in forecasts of extreme convective
rainfall using 12-km and 1-km NWP models: A tale of two storms. Forecasting Research …

With many operational centers moving toward order 1-km-gridlength models for routine
weather forecasting, this paper presents a systematic investigation of the properties of high-…

The construction and application of efficient numerical recursive filters for the task of
convolving a spatial distribution of “forcing” terms with a quasi-Gaussian self-adjoint smoothing …

… Vidale, and MJ Roberts, 2013: Atmospheric blocking in a high resolution climate model:
Influences of mean state, orography and eddy forcing. Atmos. Sci. … Blenkinsop, and NM …

In this second part of a two-part study of recursive filter techniques applied to the synthesis of
covariances in a variational analysis, methods by which non-Gaussian shapes and spatial …

A diagnostic study of a mid‐latitude cyclone has been carried out using routinely available
numerical weather‐prediction model products and imagery. The cyclone was intense but not …

The Convective Storm Initiation Project (CSIP) is an international project to understand
precisely where, when, and how convective clouds form and develop into showers in the mainly …